Tuesday, May 11, 2010

Hurricane season starts May 15th - 2010

The Eastern Pacific Hurricane season runs from May 15 to November 30


Track Eastern Pacific weather here

All the major forecasting is done by the US covering what will effect the US which means the Atlantic coast and the Gulf of Mexico. Very few Eastern Pacific hurricanes effect the western US. The best I can assume is both areas will be somewhat similar.

The 2010 hurricane season is predicted to be more active than the average for the 1950-2000 seasons. The December 2009 report estimates approximately 11-16 named storms, 6-8 hurricanes and 3-5 major hurricanes occurring during the 2010 Atlantic hurricane season, which is more typical of years in an active era, such as the 1995 season.

The forecast utilizes a statistical methodology derived from 58 years of past data and climate-related global and regional predictors. The effects of El Nino or La Nina also have an impact on the frequency of hurricanes. El Nino creates warmer water, and stronger winds that rip tropical depressions apart before they become tropical storms or hurricanes. La Nina creates cooler water, resulting in more hurricanes. Based on these facts, it is forecasted that El Nino conditions now in effect will weaken.

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