Melaque tianguis

Many times in this season the Tianguis is stripped down to very few vendors but not last Wednesday. Lorena was looking for some music and a white T-shirt. We found neither but she bought some socks for school. All the arts and crafts people will wait for the winter gringo season.

Tropical Storm Amanda

Tropical Storm Amanda - first of the season

Tropical Storm Amanda has formed over the eastern Pacific Ocean, though the storm poses no threat to land and remains far offshore.

The U.S. National Hurricane Center in Miami says Amanda had maximum sustained winds of 40 mph (64 kph) late Friday morning. It was centered about 620 miles (998 kilometers) south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, and was moving west-northwest at 5 mph (8 kph).

Forecasters say additional strengthening is expected in the next couple of days.

The Weather Underground says we have a week of rain and thunder coming up but it was supposed to start yesterday. Now it's moved back to Sunday and I expect it to be moved again.   All other sites say we my have rain later today.  It won't come from Tropical Storm Amanda so from where.

Well maybe it could/will but they were predicting this rainy spell for over a week before any weather systems had formed.  The highlands think they may getting their rains from the east as they often do .... but i don't have a clue

Las Primaveras on Primavera

A new restaurant this year. Another that is aimed at the winter tourist crowd and will probably go away right after Semana Santa in April. I don't know anything about it except that it's attractive and in an area with no other restaurants except those on the beach. Maybe a little upscale to attract the average beach going Mexican but who knows. As far as I know the street is Primavera but they chose Primaveras -- in West Melaque.

2011 Eastern Pacific Hurricane Season

For the Pacific coast, Mexico’s National Meteorological Service (Servicio Metrológico Nacional, SMN) is expecting 17 storms: 7 tropical storms, 6 moderate hurricanes (1 or 2 on the Saffir-Simpson scale), and 4 severe hurricanes (3, 4 or 5 on the Saffir-Simpson scale). The SNM publishes regular updates on hurricane activity (in Spanish) on its webpage.

Servicio Metrológico Nacional, SMN

Compared to last year

The 2010 Pacific hurricane season was the least active Pacific hurricane season, in terms of the number of named storms and hurricanes, on record, due to a moderate La Niña, unlike the 2010 Atlantic hurricane season, which was one of the most active on record. It officially started on May 15, 2010 for the eastern Pacific, and June 1, 2010 for the central Pacific, and officially ended on November 30, 2010; however, the final storm of the season dissipated on September 23, nine weeks before the official end of the season.

Hurricane season starts May 15th - 2010

The Eastern Pacific Hurricane season runs from May 15 to November 30

Track Eastern Pacific weather here

All the major forecasting is done by the US covering what will effect the US which means the Atlantic coast and the Gulf of Mexico. Very few Eastern Pacific hurricanes effect the western US. The best I can assume is both areas will be somewhat similar.

The 2010 hurricane season is predicted to be more active than the average for the 1950-2000 seasons. The December 2009 report estimates approximately 11-16 named storms, 6-8 hurricanes and 3-5 major hurricanes occurring during the 2010 Atlantic hurricane season, which is more typical of years in an active era, such as the 1995 season.

The forecast utilizes a statistical methodology derived from 58 years of past data and climate-related global and regional predictors. The effects of El Nino or La Nina also have an impact on the frequency of hurricanes. El Nino creates warmer water, and stronger winds that rip tropical depressions apart before they become tropical storms or hurricanes. La Nina creates cooler water, resulting in more hurricanes. Based on these facts, it is forecasted that El Nino conditions now in effect will weaken.